We often hear that the account of basketball competition or winners of various competitions reliably determined almost impossible. In Microsoft considered proven otherwise and it is correctly called 21 of the 24 winners of this year's oskar rodriguez Oscar film award. For such interesting predictions lie great practical features. For example, businesses can more accurately predict their actions with the information available. Details of how and why Microsoft researchers predict sports results and awards, see below.
Method of determining the future with an array of available information invented by David Rothschild (David Rothschild). This analyst at Microsoft has become known for its successful prediction of the results of various events. For example, in 2012, he correctly named the winners of the U.S. presidential elections in all states except one.
"We started using a technique which, in our opinion, in the near future will be good for Microsoft. It will be able to answer such questions that affect the allocation of available resources corporation - said the expert. - Business intelligence is an industry with billions in annual volumes. Large companies speak mulling Big data, but the latter has not yet become popular and widespread. We hope that we will be at the forefront of this process. For more solutions and research carried out depending on how the information arrives and she tells. " oskar rodriguez
For Rothschild prediction results and basketball competition is a tool that improves the model. Last subsequently be used where predictions are quite important and critical in terms of business.
2) timeliness. Rothschild uses models oskar rodriguez that are updated continuously, not after a certain period. The expert believes that the era of information like this is very important for its predictions. "Think about the business issues and economic indicators - says Rothschild. - You want to have the results as soon as possible so that people could effectively place your predictions based on their resources. Over time, you may need to upgrade to a discrete model, since it allows to isolate oskar rodriguez the impact of major events ";
3) significance. When Rothschild worked on the prediction of the results of presidential elections in the U.S., he made predictions for each state each election of governors and others. He also developed a system that allowed users to see any combination of results. oskar rodriguez "In theory, you could get 284 results oskar rodriguez - said the expert. - More than enough to satisfy any curiosity whose ";
4) scalability. oskar rodriguez Models Rothschild oskar rodriguez may change its scope of work to respond to various questions. "If you will develop a scalable system is not designed for the future - says the analyst. - We use different approaches to the model were variable in size, with machine learning, inclusive. oskar rodriguez Platforms supported volunteers also help us to create something innovative. "
Using these four approaches Rothschild can use fundamental information to successfully predict the outcome of the election, Oscar and sporting events. These methods will also be useful to Microsoft, that can receive answers to your business questions.
"Politics and Oscar - is fascinating. However, we are beginning to work on internal marketing research, which, oskar rodriguez in addition to accuracy is much more important to have a scalable solution. It was supposed to answer to shareholders, constantly updated and developed - says Rothschild. - If I kept all this work only to predict the Oscars results, it would be too. "
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